TIFA survey reveals low support for Ruto-Odinga political deal
The survey, carried out between May 2 and May 6, 2025, shows that 54% of Kenyans oppose the broad-based government, while only 22% support it.
More than half of Kenyans do not support the broad-based government formed through the political agreement between President William Ruto and Raila Odinga, according to a new poll by TIFA.
The survey, carried out between May 2 and May 6, 2025, shows that 54% of Kenyans oppose the broad-based government, while only 22% support it.
Another 22% chose not to give their opinion, and it remains unclear whether this group was undecided or unwilling to share their view.
The political agreement, signed on March 7, 2025, at the Kenya International Convention Centre, brought together Ruto and Odinga in a new partnership.
The deal includes cooperation between their parties and aims to tackle at least ten key issues affecting the country.
TIFA collected the data through telephone interviews with 2,024 respondents from nine regions across Kenya.
These include Central Rift, Coast, Lower Eastern, Mt Kenya, Nairobi, Northern, Nyanza, South Rift and Western. All respondents had previously taken part in household-based face-to-face interviews.
The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.17%.
Support for the broad-based government varies across regions. Central Rift, President Ruto’s stronghold, recorded the highest support at 37%.
Nyanza, which is Raila Odinga’s home region, had 25% backing the deal, while 49% opposed it and 26% did not respond.
TIFA noted that this was "evidently a reflection of former Prime Minister Odinga’s now-cordial relations with the Kenya Kwanza government and the presence of several senior ODM figures within it."
In Western Kenya, 50% of respondents opposed the deal, with 21% supporting it and 29% not giving an answer.
The Coast region also showed strong opposition, with 57% against the agreement, 22% in support, and 25% declining to respond.
Regions with the lowest support include Mt Kenya and Lower Eastern, which are closely linked with Rigathi Gachagua and Kalonzo Musyoka.
In these areas, only 13% and 12% of respondents supported the deal, respectively.
